PT Holdiko Perkasa http://www.holdiko.com/catindov.php?ctid=8
インドネシアのVinyl Alkaly Industry Overview
In recent years, chemicals have
entered into all aspects of human life. This has encouraged the
development of the chemical industry starting from upstream
product to downstream product.
The vinyl alkaly supply chain starts with salt as raw material.
Through a series of intermediate manufacturing processes and the
addition of ethylene, another raw material, a plastic widely
referred to as PVC ー Poly
Vinyl Chloride is created. PVC is widely used as raw material for
the manufacture of a variety of household and consumer industry
products.
The main characteristics of PVC are its impermeability and its
hardness; it does not leak, and the plastic itself does not leach
its own chemicals into the surrounding environment. This makes it
very suitable for the manufacture of plastic pipes used in the
building and construction industries, cable, film and sheet, etc.
In its raw form, it is sold as a white powder but can very easily
be changed through the addition of other chemicals and
colourants, to meet a wide variety of consumer and industrial
requirements. In addition, the vinyl alkaly supply chain produces
a significant amount of caustic soda, which is not utilized in
the supply chain and is sold to textiles, pulp, food, and
consumer products manufacturers.
Asia is the growing region in the world where caustic soda is
utilized and demanded.
Manufacturing Process
Chlorine gas and caustic soda are produced by the electrolysis of
salt solution. One cannot be formed without the other.
With the addition of ethylene, the chlorine gas is used to
manufacture Ethylene Dichloride (EDC), which in turn, is used to
manufacture VCM ー Vinyl
Chloride Monomer.
VCM is the raw material that goes through a polymerisation
process with the aid of a catalyst, to form PVC in its white
powder form.
All products from these manufacturing processes are either sold
into the market place to be used as raw materials in other
manufacturing processes or are consumed within this manufacturing
process.
This is a manufacturing supply chain where the product from one
company is used as a raw material for the manufacture of another
product. SAU,
SIM and SIP are not only
linked by the manufacturing cycle but physically and
operationally linked, to the extent that pipelines connect one
plant to the other for the transfer of materials. These plants
also share common infrastructure services.
This supply chain allows for greater manufacturing efficiency and
lowers costs, but it also creates a greater dependency of one
plant upon the other. However, SIP can continue manufacturing or
be stopped independently due to the availability of an
intermediate buffer stock of VCM.
This is a manufacturing supply chain where the product from one
company is used as a raw material for the manufacture of another
product. SAU, SIM and SIP are not only linked by the
manufacturing cycle but physically and operationally linked, to
the extent that pipelines connect one plant to the other for the
transfer of materials. These plants also share common
infrastructure services.
This supply chain allows for greater dependency of one plant upon
the other. However, SIP can continue manufacturing or be stopped
independently due to the availability of an intermediate buffer
stock of VCM.
PVC World Wide
PVC is a very versatile material and in great demand in most
areas of the world. Europe has developed its own manufacturing to
the extent that supply/demand is in equilibrium. The USA and
Middle East have excess supply built with a view to satisfying
excess demand in Asia. The developing economies within Asia have
created a large growing demand for PVC, especially in China,
which to some extent is met by the large production capacity in
Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.
PVC manufacturing, like many chemicals commodity, is very
cyclical in nature and has a direct effect on product pricing.
When demand for PVC is high, companies invest in the building of
new plants. Some of this new production capacity is built with a
view to satisfying local, in-country demand, as in Indonesia, to
reduce the demand for raw material imports.
The rush to build new plants creates excess capacity that in turn
drives down prices and stops the investment in new plants. This
cyclical nature of the business is a very common phenomenon and
the cycle duration tends to be somewhere between five to eight
years.
Industry Mergers and Acquisitions
The economic downturn as well as the forced closure and
postponement of new plants have attracted many companies to
extend their business operations through mergers and acquisitions
(M&A). In some cases companies hoped to pick up bargain
assets through ‘fire sales’
but there are serious buyers who see
this as an opportunity to break into new geographic markets that
might originally have been closed to them. This process continues
today.
The M&A activities have also proceeded along the lines of
consolidations and companies focussing upon core businesses. This
has led to the creation of mega businesses e.g. BP/Amoco,
Shell/Montell/BASF (for polyolefins, polyetheline and
polypropelene) and to some companies declaring certain businesses
being non-core and therefore putting them up for sale e.g. Shell
PVC business.
The Industry in Indonesia
Caustic Soda
Caustic soda is a much used product in Indonesia in the
industries of bath soap, detergent, textile, monosodium glutamate
(MSG), pulp, viscose rayon staple fibers (VRSF), food, etc. There
are 14 companies in Indonesia producing caustic soda with a total
production capacity reaching 617,600 DMT (Dry Metric Tonnes) per
year. With such a large production capacity, the existing
producers are already able to meet all the needs of the local
market. Therefore, the excess capacity needs to be exported or
the manufacturers need to scale back to avoid a shut down. The
local demand for caustic soda has dropped to approximately
480,000 DMT but is forecasted to increase again to approximately
590,000 DMT by the year 2001. Producers of caustic soda and their
capacities in Indonesia are outlined below:
Consumption of Caustic Soda (local Market) 1997
The projected demand for caustic soda in Indonesia is set out below:
Ethylene Dichloride /
Vinyl Chloride Monomer
Since 1999 Indonesia has been the only net exporter of EDC in the
Asian region. Starting 1998 EDC export to the region has
increased in line with the expansion of the EDC plant of SIM. Due
to the lack of demand for VCM in the local market during 1998,
particularly after the start up of the expansion of the VCM
facility of PT Asahimas Subentra Chemicals (ASC), the existing
producers had to shift their market focus to the export market.
Key EDC / VCM Players in Indonesia:
1. PT Satomo Indovyl Monomer (SIM)
・ | EDC production capacity is 265,000 MT/year, 30% of which is used internally to produce VCM and the rest is mainly exported. |
・ | VCM production capacity is 100,000 MT/year, starting operation in March 1998 |
2. PT Asahimas Subentra Chemicals
(ASC)
Initial VCM production capacity was 150,000 MT/year, but with its
expansion, the production capacity has gone up to 400,000
MT/year.
The total production capacity of VCM in Indonesia at this time is approximately 500,000 MT/year.
Due to the economic downturn, local demand for VCM declined and an oversupply occured following the expansion of PT. ASC’s VCM factory. Existing producers then shifted their market orientation to the export market. Since the export of VCM had only begun during the past two years, exports from Indonesia were still directed to only a couple of countries. In 1997 for instance, exports were directed to only two countries, as can be seen below:
Poly Vinyl Chloride
The domestic consumption of PVC resin has been declining in
recent years due to decreasing demand faced by industrial
consumers. The consumption in 2001 is expected to reach the level
in 1997 subject to domestic political and economical stability
The export of PVC resin has increased significantly in recent
years. The economic crisis has weakened local demand and caused
local producers to change their orientation by penetrating the
export market. Almost 50% of the domestic PVC resin production is
now being sold in the world market.
Projected consumption of PVC resin by industrial users in Indonesia is shown below: